BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 84 Conference: (9-7-0) Overall: (14-12-0) Overall Strength =   15.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Home    W    14.90  10   6   1A 122 ( 9-15) Villisca               -0.66      4.66                      
  2 05/29/2012 Home    L *  12.54   9  15   1A  54 (18-11) Corning                -3.02     -2.98                      
  3 05/31/2012 Away    W *  23.99  17   1   1A 136 ( 4-22) Bedford                 8.43      7.57                      
  4 06/01/2012 Away    L *   9.49   0  15   1A  10 (25- 7) Southeast Warren       -6.07     -8.93                      
  5 06/02/2012 Unknown W    15.48   2   0   1A  97 ( 9-18) Orient-Macksburg       -0.08      2.08                      
  6 06/02/2012 Unknown L    17.25   3  11   3A  29 (19-15) Perry                   1.69     -9.69                      
  7 06/04/2012 Away    L     3.16   0  15   1A  50 (17- 6) Murray                -12.40     -2.60                      
  8 06/05/2012 Home    W *  19.37   8   4   1A  85 (13-13) Lenox                   3.81      0.19                      
  9 06/07/2012 Away    L *   8.13   4  10   1A  93 (10-16) Nodaway Valley         -7.43      1.43                      
 10 06/08/2012 Away    W *  18.69   8   3   1A  94 (11-21) Corydon Wayne           3.13      1.87                      
 11 06/09/2012 Home    W    18.60  20   4   2A  96 ( 0-23) Clarinda Academy        3.04 *   12.96                      
 12 06/09/2012 Home    L    11.60   1   5   1A  86 (16- 8) Nishnabotna            -3.96     -0.04  Tournament          
 13 06/11/2012 Away    L     9.02   3   9   1A  89 (13- 9) Mormon Trail           -6.54      0.54                      
 14 06/12/2012 Home    W *  23.00  23   7   1A 138 ( 3-21) Afton East Union        7.44      8.56                      
 15 06/13/2012 Home    W    22.40  13   9   1A  50 (17- 6) Murray                  6.84     -2.84                      
 16 06/15/2012 Away    W *  16.33  13   3   2A  95 ( 2-23) Leon Central Decatur    0.77      9.23                      
 17 06/18/2012 Home    L *  13.03   1  11   1A  14 (23-10) Pleasantville          -2.53     -7.47                      
 18 06/19/2012 Away    W *  20.31   5   3   1A  54 (18-11) Corning                 4.75     -2.75                      
 19 06/21/2012 Home    W *  19.22  13   2   1A 136 ( 4-22) Bedford                 3.66      7.34                      
 20 06/22/2012 Home    L *  18.70   2   6   2A  30 (20- 8) Truro Interstate-35     3.14     -7.14                      
 21 06/26/2012 Away    L *   2.14   3  16   1A  85 (13-13) Lenox                 -13.42      0.42                      
 22 06/27/2012 Away    W    27.56  17   2   1A 106 ( 9-19) Lamoni                 12.00      3.00                      
 23 06/28/2012 Home    W *  16.37   9   7   1A  93 (10-16) Nodaway Valley          0.81      1.19                      
 24 06/29/2012 Home    L *  13.37   1  16   1A   1 (40- 5) Martensdale M-SM       -2.19 *  -12.81                      
 25 07/05/2012 Away    W *  16.77  14   4   1A 138 ( 3-21) Afton East Union        1.21      8.79                      
 26 07/10/2012 Neutral L    13.14   6   8   1A  89 (13- 9) Mormon Trail           -2.42      0.42                      
      Averages              15.56   7.9  7.4

Best game:   27.56 = 15 point win over Lamoni
Worst game:   2.14 = 13 point loss to Lenox
Team stdev:   6.04